Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
21%
57%
Chapecoense winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
0.98Avg goals scored1.13
2.40Avg goals conceded1.40
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

2

Mirassol xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win22%
Draw21%
Mirassol Win57%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%