Chapecoensevs
Fluminense
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Chapecoense xG
Expected goals
3.3
Fluminense xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
0–4
7%
1–2
7%
1–4
7%
Home
Chapecoense
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Fluminense
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Fluminense?
Fluminense is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chapecoense's current form?
Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A