Chapecoensevs
Cruzeiro
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Chapecoense xG
Expected goals
3.5
Cruzeiro xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
8%
1–2
7%
1–4
7%
0–3
6%
0–2
5%
0–4
5%
Home
Chapecoense
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Cruzeiro
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chapecoense's current form?
Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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