Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
10%
82%
Chapecoense winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
0.98Avg goals scored2.32
2.40Avg goals conceded1.60
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

4

Athletico-PR xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

1–5

6%

0–3

5%

0–4

5%

1–2

5%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win8%
Draw10%
Athletico-PR Win82%
BTTS71%
Over 2.590%