Match Analysis

BotafogovsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
30%
37%
Botafogo winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.94Avg goals scored1.00
1.44Avg goals conceded1.26
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.1

São Paulo xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

12%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs São Paulo?

São Paulo is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win33%
Draw30%
São Paulo Win37%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%