Match Analysis

BotafogovsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
30%
34%
Botafogo winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.60
0.94Avg goals scored0.98
1.44Avg goals conceded1.34
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Grêmio xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

12%

0–0

11%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Botafogo is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win36%
Draw30%
Grêmio Win34%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%