Match Analysis

BotafogovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
22%
20%
Botafogo winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.94Avg goals scored0.98
1.44Avg goals conceded2.40
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Chapecoense xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

9%

1–2

6%

3–0

6%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

Botafogo is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win58%
Draw22%
Chapecoense Win20%
BTTS57%
Over 2.558%