Match Analysis

BotafogovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
26%
53%
Botafogo winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.94Avg goals scored1.40
1.44Avg goals conceded1.03
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.5

Bahia xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

1–1

12%

0–2

11%

0–0

10%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Bahia?

Bahia is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win21%
Draw26%
Bahia Win53%
BTTS43%
Over 2.540%