Botafogovs
Atlético-MG
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Botafogo xG
Expected goals
1.7
Atlético-MG xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
0–2
12%
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
0–3
7%
Home
Botafogo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Atlético-MG
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Atlético-MG?
Atlético-MG is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Botafogo's current form?
Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A