Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Bahia xG
Expected goals
1.5
Flamengo xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
0–0
9%
1–2
9%
1–0
8%
Home
Bahia
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Flamengo
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bahia vs Flamengo?
Flamengo is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bahia's current form?
Bahia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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