Match Analysis

BahiavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
26%
52%
Bahia winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.40Avg goals scored1.95
1.03Avg goals conceded0.74
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Bahia xG

Expected goals

1.5

Flamengo xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

0–0

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win22%
Draw26%
Flamengo Win52%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%