Match Analysis

BahiavsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
14%
9%
Bahia winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
1.40Avg goals scored1.12
1.03Avg goals conceded2.29
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Bahia xG

Expected goals

0.9

Coritiba xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?

Bahia is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win77%
Draw14%
Coritiba Win9%
BTTS55%
Over 2.570%