Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Bahia xG
Expected goals
0.9
Coritiba xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
3–1
8%
1–0
7%
1–1
7%
Home
Bahia
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Coritiba
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?
Bahia is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bahia's current form?
Bahia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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