Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
23%
27%
Atlético-MG winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.60Avg goals scored1.72
1.02Avg goals conceded1.36
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.3

Santos xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

6%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win50%
Draw23%
Santos Win27%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%