Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsRed Bull Bragantino

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
22%
18%
Atlético-MG winDrawRed Bull Bragantino win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.60Avg goals scored1.30
1.02Avg goals conceded1.43
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1

Red Bull Bragantino xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win60%
Draw22%
Red Bull Bragantino Win18%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%