Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
21%
27%
Atlético-MG winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
1.60Avg goals scored1.95
1.02Avg goals conceded1.54
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.5

Cruzeiro xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win52%
Draw21%
Cruzeiro Win27%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%