Atlético-MGvs
Corinthians
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Atlético-MG xG
Expected goals
0.8
Corinthians xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
Home
Atlético-MG
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Corinthians
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Corinthians?
Atlético-MG is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético-MG's current form?
Atlético-MG have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A