Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
13%
8%
Atlético-MG winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.00
1.60Avg goals scored1.01
1.02Avg goals conceded2.02
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

0.8

Corinthians xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

7%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Corinthians?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win79%
Draw13%
Corinthians Win8%
BTTS52%
Over 2.570%