Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
15%
8%
Atlético-MG winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.20
1.51Avg goals scored1.01
0.88Avg goals conceded1.86
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

0.7

Corinthians xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

13%

1–0

11%

3–0

10%

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Corinthians?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win77%
Draw15%
Corinthians Win8%
BTTS46%
Over 2.560%