Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsVasco da Gama

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
22%
34%
Athletico-PR winDrawVasco da Gama win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.20
2.32Avg goals scored1.40
1.60Avg goals conceded0.97
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.7

Vasco da Gama xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win44%
Draw22%
Vasco da Gama Win34%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%