Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
18%
16%
Athletico-PR winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
2.32Avg goals scored1.01
1.60Avg goals conceded1.26
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.2

São Paulo xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs São Paulo?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win66%
Draw18%
São Paulo Win16%
BTTS64%
Over 2.571%