Wellington Phoenix FCvs
Macarthur FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected goals
2
Macarthur FC xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
0–2
8%
1–3
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Wellington Phoenix FC
Away
Macarthur FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix FC vs Macarthur FC?
Macarthur FC is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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