Match Analysis

Sydney FCvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

83%
10%
7%
Sydney FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded3.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Sydney FC xG

Expected goals

1

Melbourne City FC xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory?

Sydney FC is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sydney FC's current form?

Sydney FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sydney FC Win83%
Draw10%
Melbourne City FC Win7%
BTTS61%
Over 2.583%