Sydney FCvs
Melbourne City FC
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Sydney FC xG
Expected goals
1
Melbourne City FC xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
2–1
7%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Sydney FC
PPG
1.60
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Melbourne City FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory?
Sydney FC is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sydney FC's current form?
Sydney FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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