โšก Match Analysis

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
24%
27%
Perth Glory winDrawAdelaide United win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.61Avg goals scored1.47
0.95Avg goals conceded1.51
2โ€“3โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Perth Glory xG

Expected goals

1

Adelaide United xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

10%

1โ€“1

10%

2โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

10%

3โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

Home

Perth Glory

Perth Glory

WDWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Adelaide United

Adelaide United

LDWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Perth Gloryall timeAdelaide United
1W
2D
3W
20 Feb 26
Adelaide United4โ€“0Perth Glory
20 Dec 25
Perth Glory0โ€“1Adelaide United
12 Apr 25
Perth Glory4โ€“1Adelaide United
29 Nov 24
Adelaide United2โ€“2Perth Glory
7 Apr 24
Perth Glory2โ€“4Adelaide United
9 Feb 24
Adelaide United3โ€“3Perth Glory

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

Perth Glory is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Perth Glory's current form?

Perth Glory have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Perth Glory won 1, drew 2, and Adelaide United won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Perth Glory Win49%
Draw24%
Adelaide United Win27%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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