โšก Match Analysis

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Fc

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
23%
31%
Newcastle Jets winDrawMacarthur FC win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.78Avg goals scored2.24
1.19Avg goals conceded1.79
1โ€“3โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Newcastle Jets xG

Expected goals

1.9

Macarthur FC xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

7%

3โ€“1

6%

3โ€“2

6%

1โ€“1

5%

1โ€“2

5%

Home

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 8 meetings

Newcastle Jetsall timeMacarthur Fc
2W
3D
3W
2 Apr 26
Macarthur FC3โ€“2Newcastle Jets
22 Feb 26
Newcastle Jets1โ€“0Macarthur FC
26 Dec 25
Newcastle Jets4โ€“5Macarthur FC
28 Mar 25
Macarthur FC3โ€“3Newcastle Jets
12 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets1โ€“3Macarthur FC
25 Oct 24
Macarthur FC1โ€“2Newcastle Jets
25 Feb 24
Newcastle Jets2โ€“2Macarthur FC
5 Jan 24
Macarthur FC1โ€“1Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Fc?

Newcastle Jets is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle Jets's current form?

Newcastle Jets have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 8 A-League meetings, Newcastle Jets won 2, drew 3, and Macarthur Fc won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 8 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Newcastle Jets Win46%
Draw23%
Macarthur FC Win31%
BTTS79%
Over 2.583%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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