โšก Match Analysis

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
20%
16%
Melbourne Victory winDrawCentral Coast Mariners win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.49Avg goals scored1.10
1.13Avg goals conceded2.28
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Melbourne Victory xG

Expected goals

0.9

Central Coast Mariners xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

9%

3โ€“0

9%

3โ€“1

8%

1โ€“0

7%

1โ€“1

6%

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Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

LWDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners

LWDLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 8 meetings

Melbourne Victoryall timeCentral Coast Mariners
2W
3D
3W
21 Mar 26
Melbourne Victory4โ€“1Central Coast Mariners
1 Feb 26
Central Coast Mariners1โ€“0Melbourne Victory
8 Mar 25
Melbourne Victory3โ€“0Central Coast Mariners
18 Oct 24
Central Coast Mariners0โ€“0Melbourne Victory
25 May 24
Central Coast Mariners3โ€“1Melbourne Victory
25 Feb 24
Melbourne Victory0โ€“1Central Coast Mariners
13 Jan 24
Central Coast Mariners1โ€“1Melbourne Victory
3 Dec 23
Central Coast Mariners2โ€“2Melbourne Victory

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Melbourne Victory is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne Victory's current form?

Melbourne Victory have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 8 A-League meetings, Melbourne Victory won 2, drew 3, and Central Coast Mariners won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 8 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Melbourne Victory Win64%
Draw20%
Central Coast Mariners Win16%
BTTS56%
Over 2.571%

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