Match Analysis

Melbourne City FCvsSydney FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
25%
35%
Melbourne City FC winDrawSydney FC win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.60
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
0.00Avg goals conceded0.00
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sydney FC xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Melbourne City FC

No data

Away

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win40%
Draw25%
Sydney FC Win35%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%