โšก Match Analysis

Macarthur Fc vs Brisbane Roar

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
17%
15%
Macarthur FC winDrawBrisbane Roar win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
2.24Avg goals scored1.25
1.79Avg goals conceded1.88
3โ€“0โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“2โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.6

Brisbane Roar xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3โ€“1

7%

2โ€“1

6%

3โ€“2

6%

4โ€“1

6%

2โ€“2

5%

4โ€“2

5%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 7 meetings

Macarthur Fcall timeBrisbane Roar
4W
2D
1W
19 Dec 25
Macarthur FC2โ€“1Brisbane Roar
17 Oct 25
Brisbane Roar1โ€“0Macarthur FC
4 Apr 25
Brisbane Roar1โ€“5Macarthur FC
30 Nov 24
Macarthur FC4โ€“4Brisbane Roar
16 Mar 24
Brisbane Roar1โ€“2Macarthur FC
18 Jan 24
Brisbane Roar1โ€“3Macarthur FC
21 Oct 23
Macarthur FC1โ€“1Brisbane Roar

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur Fc vs Brisbane Roar?

Macarthur FC is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur Fc's current form?

Macarthur Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 A-League meetings, Macarthur Fc won 4, drew 2, and Brisbane Roar won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3โ€“1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 7 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win68%
Draw17%
Brisbane Roar Win15%
BTTS77%
Over 2.588%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š