โšก Match Analysis

Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A-League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
16%
62%
Central Coast Mariners winDrawNewcastle Jets win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.10Avg goals scored1.78
2.28Avg goals conceded1.19
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“3โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Central Coast Mariners xG

Expected goals

2.8

Newcastle Jets xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“2

8%

1โ€“3

8%

0โ€“3

7%

0โ€“1

6%

1โ€“1

6%

Home

Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners

LWDLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 9 meetings

Central Coast Marinersall timeNewcastle Jets
5W
2D
2W
25 Apr 26
Newcastle Jets4โ€“0Central Coast Mariners
28 Feb 26
Central Coast Mariners0โ€“0Newcastle Jets
19 Oct 25
Central Coast Mariners3โ€“2Newcastle Jets
12 Apr 25
Newcastle Jets6โ€“0Central Coast Mariners
1 Feb 25
Central Coast Mariners2โ€“2Newcastle Jets
22 Nov 24
Newcastle Jets1โ€“2Central Coast Mariners
27 Apr 24
Newcastle Jets1โ€“3Central Coast Mariners
2 Mar 24
Newcastle Jets0โ€“1Central Coast Mariners
25 Nov 23
Central Coast Mariners3โ€“1Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Newcastle Jets is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Central Coast Mariners's current form?

Central Coast Mariners have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 9 A-League meetings, Central Coast Mariners won 5, drew 2, and Newcastle Jets won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 9 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Central Coast Mariners Win22%
Draw16%
Newcastle Jets Win62%
BTTS63%
Over 2.575%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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