Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsWellington Phoenix FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
19%
21%
Auckland FC winDrawWellington Phoenix FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
3.00Avg goals scored2.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

1.4

Wellington Phoenix FC xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Wellington Phoenix FC

Wellington Phoenix FC

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC?

Auckland FC is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win60%
Draw19%
Wellington Phoenix FC Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%