Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsMelbourne Victory

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
Auckland FC winDrawMelbourne Victory win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
3.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded2.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

0.7

Melbourne Victory xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

4–0

10%

5–0

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory?

Auckland FC is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win91%
Draw6%
Melbourne Victory Win3%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%