What is the H2H record between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory?

In the last 8 meetings in this competition, Adelaide United won 2 times, there were 2 draws, and Melbourne Victory won 4 times.

⚡ Match Analysis

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory

Q: Who is favored to win Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Based on current form and H2H history, Melbourne Victory is favored with a 44% win probability according to PaceScore's statistical model.

Q: What is Adelaide United's current form?

Adelaide United's last 5 matches: 2W 2D 1L (1.60 points per game).

🇦🇺 A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%

25%

44%

Adelaide United winDrawMelbourne Victory win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00

1.47Avg goals scored1.49

1.51Avg goals conceded1.13

2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Adelaide United xG

Expected goals

1.6

Melbourne Victory xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

1–2

0–2

1–0

2–1

Home

Adelaide United

LDWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Melbourne Victory

LWDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings

Adelaide Unitedall timeMelbourne Victory

27 Feb 26

Melbourne Victory1–1Adelaide United

17 Jan 26

Adelaide United2–1Melbourne Victory

13 Dec 25

Melbourne Victory2–1Adelaide United

29 Mar 25

Melbourne Victory5–3Adelaide United

18 Jan 25

Adelaide United3–2Melbourne Victory

9 Mar 24

Adelaide United1–2Melbourne Victory

30 Dec 23

Melbourne Victory2–0Adelaide United

4 Nov 23

Melbourne Victory1–1Adelaide United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Melbourne Victory is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Adelaide United's current form?

Adelaide United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 8 A-League meetings, Adelaide United won 2, drew 2, and Melbourne Victory won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 8 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Adelaide United Win31%

Draw25%

Melbourne Victory Win44%

BTTS58%

Over 2.555%

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